Here they are, the predictions for the motion picture categories of the 66th annual Golden Globe Awards which are being held this Sunday at 8:00 PM on NBC.
BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- The Reader
- Revolutionary Road
- Slumdog Millionaire
While many of the critics have been favoring Slumdog for the past month, the Globes don't listen to the critics. They believe they know better than anyone else and they know that the grand sweeping movies are the best kind. This is what favors and what will lead Benjamin Button to victory in this category.
WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
SHOULD WIN: Slumdog Millionaire
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
- Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
- Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
- Sean Penn, Milk
- Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Penn's dominated the critics awards and would normally be the front runner for this honor. But when Penn won his first Globe five years ago for Mystic River he didn't show up to claim his prize, while he did show up for the Critics Choice Awards and the Oscars to collect his trophies there. Something tells me this isn't going to look favorably upon Penn this year and that the Globes will go with Rourke's great story and great performance.
WILL WIN: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
SHOULD WIN: Sean Penn, Milk
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
- Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
- Angelina Jolie, Changeling
- Meryl Streep, Doubt
- Kristin Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
- Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
The voting in this category comes down to a catfight between Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway. Both gave amazingly solid performances and are truly deservinig of this honor but I think Streep will have enough devoted fans in the HFPA to claim this prize again. The one troubling thing in my head is the Winslet factor and that could end up playing a big role in this category.
WILL WIN: Meryl Streep, Doubt
SHOULD WIN: Meryl Streep, Doubt
BEST MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
- Burn After Reading
- In Bruges
- Mamma Mia!
- Vicky Christina Barcelona
This is a tricky one. The Globes normally love to reward successful musicals but Mamma Mia! was not very well reviewed. I'm not sure it's success is enough to get it up on stage. Something tells me though that Vicky Christina Barcelona with it's sexuality with an international flavor will really resonate with the voters, not to mention the fact that it has the most nominations of any of these movies.
WILL WIN: Vicky Christina Barcelona
SHOULD WIN: Haven't seen any of these movies yet
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
- Javier Bardem, Vicky Christina Barcelona
- Colin Farrell, In Bruges
- James Franco, Pineapple Express
- Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges
- Dustin Hoffman, Last Chance Harvey
Most of what I have heard about Last Chance Harvey is just buzz and a few critical accolades but a lot of it has been good and the reviews for Hoffman have been great. I think Hoffman will end up winning this but Gleeson or Franco could easily sneak past him. Gleeson's performance in In Bruges was the best in the movie and the HFPA might be looking for a way to reward Franco after snubbing Milk so badly.
WILL WIN: Dustin Hoffman, Last Chance Harvey
SHOULD WIN: Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
- Rebecca Hall, Vicky Christina Barcelona
- Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
- Frances McDormand, Burn After Reading
- Meryl Streep, Mamma Mia!
- Emma Thompson, Last Chance Harvey
Again, here's a category where everyone is going for the big musical but I don't think that Meryl will pick this one up. But watch out for Sally Hawkins and her subtle performance in Happy-Go-Lucky which has been dazzling the critics.
WILL WIN: Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
SHOULD WIN: Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
- Tom Cruise, Tropic Thunder
- Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
- Ralph Fiennes, The Duchess
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
- Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
The HFPA is a very sentimental organization and while they might have given it to Ledger even if he was still alive, a lot of the voting members will want to see a heartfelt speech and standing ovation to honor this star who left us far too soon.
WILL WIN: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
SHOULD WIN: Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
- Amy Adams, Doubt
- Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
- Viola Davis, Doubt
- Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
- Kate Winslet, The Reader
The Globes have a serious tradition of loving to reward sexy and younger talent in this category and so normally I would say that Penelope Cruz would be an absolute lock in this category. But there's also Viola Davis and Marisa Tomei and once again the Winslet factor occurs. She just picked up the Supporting Actress prize from the BFCA and this could be the category to reward her in, but I think Cruz will take it in the end.
WILL WIN: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
SHOULD WIN: Viola Davis, Doubt
BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
- Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
- Stephen Daldry, The Reader
- David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
- Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
This will be Danny Boyle's category, no question. All the other nominees should feel lucky just to be in his company.
WILL WIN: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
SHOULD WIN: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Written by Eric Roth
- Doubt, Written by John Patrick Shanley
- Frost/Nixon, Written by Peter Morgan
- The Reader, Written by David Hare
- Slumdog Millionaire, Written by Simon Beaufoy
Again, Slumdog has owned this category and this will be just another part of the wave this movie is creating.
WILL WIN: Slumdog Millionaire, Written by Simon Beaufoy
SHOULD WIN: Doubt, Written by John Patrick Shanley
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
- Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E will win this award hands down.
WILL WIN: Wall-E
SHOULD WIN: Wall-E
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
- The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
- Everlasting Moments (Sweden/Denmark)
- Gomorrah (Italy)
- I've Loved You So Long (France)
- Waltz with Bashir (Israel)
This comes down to Gomorrah and Bashir. The praise for Gomorrah has been in the international press for some time now and it seems like that should put it over the edge with the Globe voters. But that's what I thought with the Critics Choice Awards and Bashir won over the Italian mafia movie.
WILL WIN: Gomorrah (Italy)
SHOULD WIN: Still have yet to see any of them
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Composed by Alexandre Desplat
- Changeling, Composed by Clint Eastwood
- Defiance, Composed by James Newton Howard
- Slumdog Millionaire, Composed by A.R. Rahman
- Frost/Nixon, Composed by Hans Zimmer
The Globes like to reward more traditional and sweeping scores. Take 2005 when the score for Memoirs of a Geisha defeated the iconic score from Brokeback Mountain and the next year Gustavo Santaolalla's brilliant score, this time for Babel, was defeated again, this time by The Painted Veil. Not even Johnny Greenwood's brilliant score to There Will Be Blood was nominated last year. Slumdog might take home the Oscar but the Globe belongs to Benjamin Button.
WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Composed by Alexandre Desplat
SHOULD WIN: Slumdog Millionaire, Composed by A.R. Rahman
BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE
- "Down to Earth", Wall-E, Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman
- "Gran Torino", Gran Torino, Clint Eastwood, Jamie Cullum, Kyle Eastwood and Michael Stevens
- "I Thought I Lost You", Bolt, Miley Cyrus and Jeffrey Steele
- "Once in a Lifetime", Cadillac Records, Beyoncé Knowles, Amanda Ghost, Scott McFarmon, Ian Dench, James Dring and Jody Street
- "The Wrestler", The Wrestler, Bruce Springsteen
Oh how I would love for Peter Gabriel to be able to take home this Golden Globe. But alas, this looks like it's going to be a pretty sure thing for Springsteen. This will be his second Globe, he won in 1993 for "Streets of Philadelphia" which would later net him an Oscar and a Grammy for Song of the Year.
WILL WIN: "The Wrestler", The Wrestler, Bruce Springsteen
SHOULD WIN: "Down to Earth", Wall-E, Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman